Today
3 Nov
83° 76°
100%0.61 in
89%
9 weather models · one stack
Miami weather
Florida, United States
25.76°, -80.20° · 7 m
Local time 20:14
Confidence 89%
Miami weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 83°F and a low of 76°F. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.61 in. Tomorrow: 81°F. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.29 in.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
81° 77°
100%0.29 in
90%
Thu
5 Nov
83° 76°
44%0.02 in
51%
Fri
6 Nov
83° 75°
11%0.00 in
80%
Sat
7 Nov
83° 73°
44%0.02 in
44%
Sun
8 Nov
82° 74°
71%0.06 in
62%
Mon
9 Nov
81° 75°
57%0.05 in
48%
Tue
10 Nov
81° 75°
50%0.03 in
38%
Wed
11 Nov
81° 73°
60%0.08 in
50%
Thu
12 Nov
80° 72°
60%0.13 in
53%
Fri
13 Nov
80° 73°
25%0.00 in
67%
Sat
14 Nov
80° 72°
67%0.07 in
51%
Sun
15 Nov
80° 70°
67%0.72 in
47%
Mon
16 Nov
80° 73°
67%0.60 in
54%
Tue
17 Nov
80° 73°
67%0.05 in
48%
Wed
18 Nov
80° 74°
100%0.05 in
66%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Miami
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Miami on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Miami
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 83°/76° · 0.61 in | 81°/77° · 0.29 in | 83°/76° · 0.02 in | 83°/75° · 0.00 in | 83°/73° · 0.02 in | 82°/74° · 0.06 in | 81°/75° · 0.05 in |
| ECMWF | 83°/74° · 0.63 in | 80°/74° · 0.41 in | 82°/74° · 0.05 in | 82°/71° · 0.04 in | 82°/72° · 0.07 in | 82°/72° · 0.06 in | 80°/64° · 0.05 in |
| AIFS | 82°/78° · 0.61 in | 81°/77° · 0.39 in | 83°/77° · 0.06 in | 83°/76° · 0.02 in | 82°/74° · 0.09 in | 81°/74° · 0.09 in | 81°/75° · 0.08 in |
| GFS | 84°/76° · 0.43 in | 82°/73° · 0.38 in | 82°/72° · 0.00 in | 83°/79° · 0.01 in | 83°/78° · 0.04 in | 82°/77° · 0.09 in | 80°/77° · 0.35 in |
| ICON | 83°/77° · 0.71 in | 83°/77° · 0.17 in | 84°/76° · <0.01 in | 85°/72° · 0.00 in | 87°/71° · 0.00 in | 81°/74° · 0.00 in | 81°/70° · <0.01 in |
| GEM | 85°/76° · 0.11 in | 82°/77° · 0.12 in | 84°/77° · 0.02 in | 84°/76° · 0.00 in | 85°/73° · 0.06 in | 84°/72° · 0.04 in | 85°/75° · 0.01 in |
| JMA | 80°/79° · 0.65 in | 80°/79° · 0.68 in | 81°/79° · 0.12 in | 81°/80° · 0.00 in | 81°/79° · 0.00 in | 80°/78° · 0.02 in | 81°/77° · 0.00 in |
| ARPEGE | 82°/75° · 0.48 in | 81°/74° · 0.22 in | 82°/73° · 0.05 in | 82°/69° · 0.00 in | 83°/68° · 0.00 in | - | - |
| UKMO | 84°/76° · 0.19 in | 83°/78° · 0.15 in | 84°/77° · <0.01 in | 84°/75° · 0.01 in | 85°/75° · 0.02 in | 83°/75° · 0.06 in | 81°/74° · 0.06 in |
| CMA | 83°/76° · 0.91 in | 81°/76° · 0.29 in | 83°/75° · 0.00 in | 83°/73° · 0.00 in | 83°/72° · 0.00 in | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 44/100. AIFS brings 0.09 in of rain while ICON has 0.00 in; highs range from 81° (JMA) to 87° (ICON). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Miami weather: questions
Will it rain in Miami tomorrow?
Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.29 in. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.29 in, ranging from 0.12 in to 0.68 in.
When will it rain next in Miami?
The next day most models agree on rain is Tuesday 3 November: 100% of models, about 0.61 in.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Miami today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 83°F with 0.63 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 84°F with 0.43 in. The median of all 9 models is 83°F.
Which weather model is most accurate for Miami?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Miami forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 44/100): AIFS forecasts 0.09 in of rain while ICON forecasts 0.00 in.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology