Today
3 Nov
82° 72°
67%0.07 in
64%
9 weather models · one stack
Orlando weather
Florida, United States
28.51°, -81.40° · 32 m
Local time 20:16
Confidence 64%
Orlando weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 82°F and a low of 72°F. Rain expected: 67% of models agree, about 0.07 in. Tomorrow: 83°F. A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 0.10 in.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
83° 72°
33%0.02 in
55%
Thu
5 Nov
84° 71°
0%0.00 in
84%
Fri
6 Nov
83° 71°
44%0.00 in
38%
Sat
7 Nov
80° 68°
0%0.00 in
78%
Sun
8 Nov
80° 65°
0%0.00 in
82%
Mon
9 Nov
78° 62°
0%0.00 in
78%
Tue
10 Nov
78° 64°
33%0.01 in
56%
Wed
11 Nov
77° 59°
20%0.00 in
65%
Thu
12 Nov
78° 64°
20%0.00 in
77%
Fri
13 Nov
77° 64°
25%0.00 in
54%
Sat
14 Nov
78° 65°
67%0.06 in
41%
Sun
15 Nov
77° 63°
67%0.14 in
28%
Mon
16 Nov
75° 64°
33%0.00 in
25%
Tue
17 Nov
79° 64°
33%0.02 in
50%
Wed
18 Nov
77° 63°
0%0.01 in
63%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Orlando
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Orlando on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Orlando
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 82°/72° · 0.07 in | 83°/72° · 0.02 in | 84°/71° · 0.00 in | 83°/71° · 0.00 in | 80°/68° · 0.00 in | 80°/65° · 0.00 in | 78°/62° · 0.00 in |
| ECMWF | 82°/70° · 0.06 in | 83°/71° · 0.10 in | 83°/69° · 0.00 in | 82°/68° · 0.04 in | 79°/68° · 0.00 in | 79°/65° · 0.00 in | 77°/60° · 0.00 in |
| AIFS | 82°/72° · 0.16 in | 84°/73° · 0.09 in | 85°/72° · 0.03 in | 84°/71° · 0.05 in | 79°/65° · 0.00 in | 80°/60° · 0.00 in | 80°/62° · 0.00 in |
| GFS | 82°/72° · 0.00 in | 81°/71° · 0.00 in | 88°/69° · 0.00 in | 90°/71° · 0.00 in | 86°/72° · 0.00 in | 84°/68° · 0.00 in | 78°/67° · 0.02 in |
| ICON | 82°/73° · 0.22 in | 83°/73° · 0.02 in | 84°/71° · 0.00 in | 84°/71° · 0.00 in | 80°/65° · 0.00 in | 77°/60° · 0.00 in | 75°/65° · 0.00 in |
| GEM | 82°/72° · 0.00 in | 86°/72° · 0.00 in | 86°/70° · <0.01 in | 83°/69° · 0.08 in | 81°/64° · 0.00 in | 81°/57° · 0.00 in | 83°/60° · 0.00 in |
| JMA | 82°/73° · 0.17 in | 82°/72° · 0.04 in | 83°/71° · <0.01 in | 82°/72° · 0.00 in | 77°/69° · 0.00 in | 81°/66° · 0.00 in | 78°/62° · 0.00 in |
| ARPEGE | 81°/72° · 0.17 in | 80°/71° · 0.02 in | 82°/69° · 0.00 in | 81°/65° · 0.00 in | 77°/69° · 0.00 in | - | - |
| UKMO | 82°/73° · 0.07 in | 84°/73° · <0.01 in | 83°/72° · 0.04 in | 83°/73° · 0.06 in | 81°/71° · 0.00 in | 80°/66° · 0.00 in | 78°/65° · 0.00 in |
| CMA | 83°/72° · 0.01 in | 83°/73° · 0.00 in | 84°/71° · 0.00 in | 83°/70° · 0.00 in | 80°/67° · 0.00 in | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Friday
Confidence is only 38/100. GEM brings 0.08 in of rain while GFS has 0.00 in; highs range from 81° (ARPEGE) to 90° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Orlando weather: questions
Will it rain in Orlando tomorrow?
A chance of showers: 33% of models show rain, up to 0.10 in. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.02 in, ranging from 0.00 in to 0.10 in.
When will it rain next in Orlando?
The next day most models agree on rain is Tuesday 3 November: 67% of models, about 0.07 in.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Orlando today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 82°F with 0.06 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 82°F with 0.00 in. The median of all 9 models is 82°F.
Which weather model is most accurate for Orlando?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Orlando forecast this week?
The least certain day is Friday (confidence 38/100): GEM forecasts 0.08 in of rain while GFS forecasts 0.00 in.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology