9 weather models · one stack

Charlotte weather

Q: Will it rain in Charlotte tomorrow?

Rain expected: 56% of models agree, about 0.05 in. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.05 in, ranging from 0.00 in to 0.18 in.

Q: When will it rain next in Charlotte?

The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 56% of models, about 0.05 in.

Q: What do ECMWF and GFS say for Charlotte today?

ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 73°F with <0.01 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 73°F with 0.00 in. The median of all 9 models is 73°F.

Q: Which weather model is most accurate for Charlotte?

On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.

Q: How reliable is the Charlotte forecast this week?

The least certain day is Wednesday (confidence 48/100): AIFS forecasts 0.18 in of rain while GFS forecasts 0.00 in.

North Carolina, United States 35.25°, -80.80° · 254 m Local time 20:17 Confidence 87%

Charlotte weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 73°F and a low of 50°F. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 76°F. Rain expected: 56% of models agree, about 0.05 in.

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The stack

Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.

16-day consensus

Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.

Today

3 Nov

73° 50°

0%0.00 in

87%

Wed

4 Nov

76° 56°

56%0.05 in

48%

Thu

5 Nov

73° 66°

100%0.17 in

83%

Fri

6 Nov

70° 58°

89%0.27 in

68%

Sat

7 Nov

62° 50°

0%0.00 in

69%

Sun

8 Nov

64° 43°

0%0.00 in

80%

Mon

9 Nov

65° 45°

0%0.00 in

73%

Tue

10 Nov

67° 42°

0%0.00 in

67%

Wed

11 Nov

69° 45°

0%0.00 in

72%

Thu

12 Nov

65° 51°

0%0.00 in

80%

Fri

13 Nov

64° 46°

0%0.00 in

67%

Sat

14 Nov

69° 50°

0%0.00 in

74%

Sun

15 Nov

71° 42°

33%0.00 in

15%

Mon

16 Nov

70° 42°

0%0.00 in

45%

Tue

17 Nov

71° 52°

0%0.00 in

45%

Wed

18 Nov

62° 43°

0%0.00 in

66%

Model spaghetti

Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.

Model maps around Charlotte

ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Charlotte on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.

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What each model says for Charlotte

Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.

Model	Today	Wed 4	Thu 5	Fri 6	Sat 7	Sun 8	Mon 9
Consensus	73°/50° · 0.00 in	76°/56° · 0.05 in	73°/66° · 0.17 in	70°/58° · 0.27 in	62°/50° · 0.00 in	64°/43° · 0.00 in	65°/45° · 0.00 in
ECMWF	73°/49° · <0.01 in	78°/56° · 0.03 in	76°/65° · 0.28 in	70°/58° · 0.94 in	67°/52° · 0.00 in	65°/47° · 0.00 in	67°/45° · 0.00 in
AIFS	74°/50° · 0.00 in	75°/56° · 0.18 in	76°/66° · 0.34 in	74°/59° · 0.00 in	65°/50° · 0.00 in	65°/40° · 0.00 in	71°/41° · 0.00 in
GFS	73°/49° · 0.00 in	77°/53° · 0.00 in	73°/64° · 0.27 in	75°/59° · 0.68 in	66°/49° · 0.00 in	63°/46° · 0.00 in	65°/47° · 0.00 in
ICON	74°/50° · 0.00 in	74°/56° · 0.07 in	74°/65° · 0.15 in	69°/57° · 0.18 in	60°/45° · 0.00 in	64°/38° · 0.00 in	69°/42° · 0.00 in
GEM	75°/48° · 0.00 in	77°/55° · 0.02 in	73°/66° · 0.11 in	72°/61° · 0.08 in	62°/46° · 0.00 in	63°/38° · 0.00 in	65°/34° · 0.00 in
JMA	70°/53° · 0.00 in	75°/60° · 0.05 in	71°/66° · 0.21 in	67°/58° · 0.85 in	68°/53° · 0.00 in	70°/45° · 0.00 in	65°/46° · 0.00 in
ARPEGE	74°/52° · 0.00 in	77°/55° · 0.06 in	69°/66° · 0.11 in	67°/58° · 0.63 in	60°/54° · 0.00 in	-	-
UKMO	71°/50° · 0.00 in	76°/57° · 0.06 in	73°/66° · 0.17 in	70°/59° · 0.07 in	61°/50° · 0.00 in	64°/43° · 0.00 in	60°/46° · 0.00 in
CMA	72°/54° · 0.00 in	74°/57° · 0.03 in	72°/64° · 0.09 in	72°/58° · 0.27 in	57°/47° · 0.00 in	-	-

Where the models disagree: Wednesday

Confidence is only 48/100. AIFS brings 0.18 in of rain while GFS has 0.00 in; highs range from 74° (ICON) to 78° (ECMWF). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.