Today
3 Nov
71° 57°
0%0.00 in
88%
9 weather models · one stack
Detroit weather
Michigan, United States
42.36°, -83.01° · 183 m
Local time 20:16
Confidence 88%
Detroit weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 71°F and a low of 57°F. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 65°F. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.34 in.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
65° 61°
100%0.34 in
91%
Thu
5 Nov
60° 53°
11%<0.01 in
73%
Fri
6 Nov
54° 42°
89%0.13 in
72%
Sat
7 Nov
47° 39°
33%<0.01 in
51%
Sun
8 Nov
55° 38°
0%0.00 in
82%
Mon
9 Nov
56° 43°
0%0.00 in
64%
Tue
10 Nov
58° 45°
0%0.00 in
76%
Wed
11 Nov
51° 38°
0%0.00 in
76%
Thu
12 Nov
51° 38°
0%0.00 in
48%
Fri
13 Nov
57° 41°
25%0.00 in
42%
Sat
14 Nov
62° 48°
33%0.00 in
15%
Sun
15 Nov
64° 54°
33%0.00 in
15%
Mon
16 Nov
59° 53°
33%0.02 in
15%
Tue
17 Nov
61° 41°
33%0.00 in
34%
Wed
18 Nov
48° 38°
0%0.00 in
34%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Detroit
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Detroit on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Detroit
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 71°/57° · 0.00 in | 65°/61° · 0.34 in | 60°/53° · <0.01 in | 54°/42° · 0.13 in | 47°/39° · <0.01 in | 55°/38° · 0.00 in | 56°/43° · 0.00 in |
| ECMWF | 73°/57° · <0.01 in | 65°/61° · 0.34 in | 60°/54° · 0.00 in | 53°/41° · 0.01 in | 46°/39° · <0.01 in | 54°/37° · 0.00 in | 55°/43° · 0.00 in |
| AIFS | 71°/57° · 0.00 in | 64°/60° · 0.41 in | 59°/54° · 0.06 in | 54°/42° · 0.13 in | 46°/41° · 0.00 in | 53°/37° · 0.00 in | 56°/41° · 0.00 in |
| GFS | 74°/57° · 0.00 in | 67°/61° · 0.53 in | 64°/51° · 0.00 in | 58°/40° · 0.44 in | 47°/40° · 0.27 in | 58°/40° · 0.00 in | 62°/45° · 0.00 in |
| ICON | 73°/57° · 0.00 in | 64°/61° · 0.33 in | 61°/53° · <0.01 in | 54°/42° · 0.15 in | 48°/38° · 0.00 in | 57°/35° · 0.00 in | 58°/41° · 0.00 in |
| GEM | 69°/57° · 0.00 in | 64°/60° · 0.50 in | 60°/51° · 0.03 in | 51°/40° · 0.08 in | 52°/36° · 0.11 in | 55°/42° · 0.00 in | 56°/40° · 0.00 in |
| JMA | 70°/58° · 0.00 in | 67°/62° · 0.06 in | 65°/57° · <0.01 in | 56°/42° · 0.11 in | 46°/41° · <0.01 in | 56°/43° · 0.02 in | 49°/43° · <0.01 in |
| ARPEGE | 72°/57° · 0.00 in | 65°/61° · 0.13 in | 59°/53° · 0.02 in | 54°/44° · 0.22 in | 50°/44° · 0.08 in | - | - |
| UKMO | 71°/58° · 0.00 in | 64°/63° · 0.72 in | 62°/55° · 0.02 in | 54°/41° · 0.06 in | 47°/39° · 0.00 in | 52°/38° · 0.00 in | 49°/44° · 0.00 in |
| CMA | 71°/52° · 0.00 in | 65°/59° · 0.34 in | 60°/51° · <0.01 in | 52°/43° · 0.15 in | 44°/35° · 0.00 in | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 51/100. GFS brings 0.27 in of rain while AIFS has 0.00 in; highs range from 44° (CMA) to 52° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Detroit weather: questions
Will it rain in Detroit tomorrow?
Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 0.34 in. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.34 in, ranging from 0.06 in to 0.72 in.
When will it rain next in Detroit?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 100% of models, about 0.34 in.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Detroit today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 73°F with <0.01 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 74°F with 0.00 in. The median of all 9 models is 71°F.
Which weather model is most accurate for Detroit?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Detroit forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 51/100): GFS forecasts 0.27 in of rain while AIFS forecasts 0.00 in.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology