Today
4 Nov
19° 12°
0%0.0 mm
92%
9 weather models · one stack
Naples weather
Campania, Italy
40.88°, 14.21° · 19 m
Local time 02:14
Confidence 92%
Naples weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 19°C and a low of 12°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 19°C. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Next likely rain: Friday 6 November (56% of models, ~2.2 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
19° 12°
11%0.0 mm
83%
Fri
6 Nov
17° 12°
56%2.2 mm
36%
Sat
7 Nov
18° 13°
67%1.4 mm
54%
Sun
8 Nov
18° 12°
71%1.2 mm
67%
Mon
9 Nov
19° 13°
43%0.9 mm
48%
Tue
10 Nov
21° 17°
67%2.6 mm
43%
Wed
11 Nov
22° 17°
60%3.4 mm
54%
Thu
12 Nov
22° 16°
100%6.7 mm
86%
Fri
13 Nov
20° 14°
75%11 mm
61%
Sat
14 Nov
19° 15°
50%3.0 mm
0%
Sun
15 Nov
17° 13°
33%0.1 mm
50%
Mon
16 Nov
16° 11°
67%5.6 mm
56%
Tue
17 Nov
18° 11°
67%5.6 mm
56%
Wed
18 Nov
17° 11°
50%11 mm
39%
Thu
19 Nov
19° 14°
0%0.8 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Naples
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Naples on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Naples
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 17°/12° · 2.2 mm | 18°/13° · 1.4 mm | 18°/12° · 1.2 mm | 19°/13° · 0.9 mm | 21°/17° · 2.6 mm |
| ECMWF | 18°/12° · 0.0 mm | 18°/12° · 0.0 mm | 17°/11° · 0.0 mm | 16°/11° · 5.9 mm | 18°/12° · 0.3 mm | 18°/12° · 7.0 mm | 19°/15° · 3.8 mm |
| AIFS | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 17°/12° · 5.6 mm | 18°/14° · 4.0 mm | 18°/14° · 3.4 mm | 20°/14° · 1.2 mm | 20°/18° · 6.8 mm |
| GFS | 20°/16° · 0.0 mm | 19°/14° · 0.0 mm | 20°/14° · 0.0 mm | 17°/14° · 1.4 mm | 18°/16° · 1.2 mm | 18°/16° · 0.9 mm | 19°/17° · 8.0 mm |
| ICON | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 16°/13° · 7.9 mm | 20°/14° · 0.0 mm | 19°/12° · 1.2 mm | 20°/12° · 0.0 mm | 23°/15° · 1.3 mm |
| GEM | 20°/12° · 0.0 mm | 20°/13° · 0.0 mm | 15°/14° · 2.2 mm | 17°/13° · 3.0 mm | 18°/11° · 2.7 mm | 19°/10° · 0.9 mm | 23°/16° · 0.2 mm |
| JMA | 19°/10° · 0.0 mm | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | 16°/12° · 4.6 mm | 19°/13° · 1.4 mm | 19°/13° · 1.8 mm | 19°/14° · 7.6 mm | 22°/17° · 0.2 mm |
| ARPEGE | 18°/11° · 0.0 mm | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 18°/13° · 0.6 mm | 18°/10° · 0.0 mm | 20°/13° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 19°/11° · 0.0 mm | 19°/12° · 3.4 mm | 17°/13° · 5.6 mm | 18°/13° · 3.3 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Friday
Confidence is only 36/100. ICON brings 7.9 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 15° (GEM) to 20° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Naples weather: questions
Will it rain in Naples tomorrow?
Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 3.4 mm.
When will it rain next in Naples?
The next day most models agree on rain is Friday 6 November: 56% of models, about 2.2 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Naples today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 18°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 20°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 19°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Naples?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Naples forecast this week?
The least certain day is Friday (confidence 36/100): ICON forecasts 7.9 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology