Today
4 Nov
23° 14°
0%0.0 mm
90%
9 weather models · one stack
Tunis weather
Tunis Governorate, Tunisia
36.80°, 10.17° · 24 m
Local time 02:14
Confidence 90%
Tunis weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 23°C and a low of 14°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 24°C. A chance of showers: 22% of models show rain, up to 2.0 mm. Next likely rain: Sunday 15 November (67% of models, ~2.1 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
24° 17°
22%0.2 mm
58%
Fri
6 Nov
23° 16°
11%0.1 mm
77%
Sat
7 Nov
23° 15°
0%0.0 mm
90%
Sun
8 Nov
26° 17°
0%0.0 mm
75%
Mon
9 Nov
27° 18°
0%0.0 mm
76%
Tue
10 Nov
28° 20°
0%0.0 mm
74%
Wed
11 Nov
28° 19°
0%0.0 mm
82%
Thu
12 Nov
27° 19°
0%0.0 mm
84%
Fri
13 Nov
27° 19°
50%0.5 mm
39%
Sat
14 Nov
25° 18°
0%0.0 mm
45%
Sun
15 Nov
20° 15°
67%2.1 mm
33%
Mon
16 Nov
22° 14°
0%0.0 mm
77%
Tue
17 Nov
21° 16°
33%0.6 mm
53%
Wed
18 Nov
21° 15°
0%0.2 mm
65%
Thu
19 Nov
18° 15°
100%8.2 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Tunis
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Tunis on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Tunis
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 23°/14° · 0.0 mm | 24°/17° · 0.2 mm | 23°/16° · 0.1 mm | 23°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | 27°/18° · 0.0 mm | 28°/20° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 23°/13° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.2 mm | 23°/14° · 0.2 mm | 22°/14° · 0.0 mm | 23°/14° · 0.0 mm | 26°/16° · 0.0 mm | 28°/15° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 23°/14° · 0.0 mm | 24°/18° · 2.0 mm | 23°/16° · 1.6 mm | 22°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | 26°/18° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 23°/17° · 0.0 mm | 22°/18° · 0.3 mm | 22°/17° · 0.1 mm | 23°/17° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.0 mm | 27°/19° · 0.0 mm | 28°/22° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 23°/14° · 0.4 mm | 24°/17° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 23°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/17° · 0.0 mm | 29°/17° · 0.0 mm | 29°/19° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 24°/9° · 0.0 mm | 27°/16° · 0.0 mm | 25°/13° · 0.0 mm | 24°/14° · 0.0 mm | 28°/16° · 0.0 mm | 30°/20° · 0.0 mm | 31°/21° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/18° · 0.0 mm | 24°/17° · 0.0 mm | 23°/16° · 0.0 mm | 27°/18° · 0.0 mm | 29°/21° · 0.0 mm | 30°/21° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 24°/12° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.1 mm | 24°/15° · 0.0 mm | 22°/14° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 24°/16° · 0.0 mm | 24°/19° · 0.7 mm | 23°/17° · 0.2 mm | 23°/15° · 0.0 mm | 26°/18° · 0.0 mm | 27°/18° · 0.0 mm | - |
| CMA | 22°/13° · 0.0 mm | 22°/16° · 1.5 mm | 22°/16° · 0.9 mm | 23°/15° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Thursday
Confidence is only 58/100. AIFS brings 2.0 mm of rain while ICON has 0.0 mm; highs range from 22° (GFS) to 27° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Tunis weather: questions
Will it rain in Tunis tomorrow?
A chance of showers: 22% of models show rain, up to 2.0 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.2 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 2.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Tunis?
The next day most models agree on rain is Sunday 15 November: 67% of models, about 2.1 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Tunis today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 23°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 23°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 23°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Tunis?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Tunis forecast this week?
The least certain day is Thursday (confidence 58/100): AIFS forecasts 2.0 mm of rain while ICON forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology