Today
4 Nov
17° 10°
0%0.0 mm
85%
9 weather models · one stack
Porto weather
Porto District, Portugal
41.16°, -8.63° · 87 m
Local time 01:15
Confidence 85%
Porto weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 17°C and a low of 10°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 16°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Friday 6 November (89% of models, ~5.9 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
16° 7°
0%0.0 mm
89%
Fri
6 Nov
17° 8°
89%5.9 mm
69%
Sat
7 Nov
18° 12°
78%6.6 mm
65%
Sun
8 Nov
19° 15°
100%16 mm
78%
Mon
9 Nov
19° 15°
100%21 mm
76%
Tue
10 Nov
18° 15°
100%26 mm
82%
Wed
11 Nov
17° 15°
100%24 mm
94%
Thu
12 Nov
17° 14°
100%12 mm
78%
Fri
13 Nov
16° 13°
75%7.6 mm
51%
Sat
14 Nov
17° 12°
25%0.1 mm
62%
Sun
15 Nov
16° 9°
0%0.0 mm
71%
Mon
16 Nov
17° 9°
0%0.0 mm
73%
Tue
17 Nov
18° 11°
33%0.0 mm
36%
Wed
18 Nov
19° 13°
0%0.0 mm
50%
Thu
19 Nov
17° 15°
100%6.6 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Porto
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Porto on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Porto
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 17°/10° · 0.0 mm | 16°/7° · 0.0 mm | 17°/8° · 5.9 mm | 18°/12° · 6.6 mm | 19°/15° · 16 mm | 19°/15° · 21 mm | 18°/15° · 26 mm |
| ECMWF | 17°/10° · 0.0 mm | 16°/7° · 0.0 mm | 17°/8° · 25 mm | 19°/13° · 43 mm | 21°/15° · 5.8 mm | 19°/16° · 21 mm | 18°/14° · 24 mm |
| AIFS | 15°/8° · 0.0 mm | 16°/5° · 0.0 mm | 15°/7° · 13 mm | 17°/13° · 6.0 mm | 19°/16° · 15 mm | 21°/17° · 35 mm | 18°/15° · 32 mm |
| GFS | 18°/10° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 0.0 mm | 18°/12° · 0.9 mm | 17°/14° · 9.1 mm | 20°/15° · 20 mm | 19°/15° · 20 mm |
| ICON | 18°/10° · 0.0 mm | 16°/6° · 0.0 mm | 14°/9° · 18 mm | 19°/14° · 7.4 mm | 19°/16° · 22 mm | 17°/15° · 24 mm | 16°/15° · 20 mm |
| GEM | 17°/6° · 0.0 mm | 16°/4° · 0.0 mm | 17°/6° · 13 mm | 18°/12° · 6.6 mm | 18°/15° · 24 mm | 17°/15° · 48 mm | 16°/15° · 43 mm |
| JMA | 17°/9° · 0.0 mm | 18°/5° · 0.0 mm | 18°/6° · 5.9 mm | 18°/13° · 6.0 mm | 18°/15° · 16 mm | 21°/17° · 12 mm | 18°/16° · 28 mm |
| ARPEGE | 18°/11° · 0.0 mm | 17°/8° · 0.0 mm | 16°/8° · 3.9 mm | 17°/12° · 22 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 17°/10° · 0.0 mm | 16°/7° · 0.0 mm | 18°/8° · 2.2 mm | 19°/12° · 23 mm | 21°/16° · 33 mm | 19°/15° · 16 mm | - |
| CMA | 16°/8° · 0.0 mm | 15°/7° · 0.0 mm | 17°/8° · 1.3 mm | 21°/12° · 0.8 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 65/100. ECMWF brings 43 mm of rain while CMA has 0.8 mm; highs range from 17° (AIFS) to 21° (CMA). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Porto weather: questions
Will it rain in Porto tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Porto?
The next day most models agree on rain is Friday 6 November: 89% of models, about 5.9 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Porto today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 17°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 18°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 17°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Porto?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Porto forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 65/100): ECMWF forecasts 43 mm of rain while CMA forecasts 0.8 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:15 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology