Today
4 Nov
12° 4°
11%0.0 mm
75%
9 weather models · one stack
Bordeaux weather
New Aquitaine, France
44.82°, -0.56° · 25 m
Local time 02:16
Confidence 75%
Bordeaux weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 12°C and a low of 4°C. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Tomorrow: 14°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Sunday 8 November (57% of models, ~1.2 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
14° 5°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Fri
6 Nov
15° 3°
0%0.0 mm
79%
Sat
7 Nov
13° 4°
11%0.0 mm
58%
Sun
8 Nov
17° 9°
57%1.2 mm
41%
Mon
9 Nov
19° 12°
71%3.1 mm
51%
Tue
10 Nov
22° 15°
67%1.0 mm
47%
Wed
11 Nov
19° 14°
80%6.9 mm
50%
Thu
12 Nov
17° 12°
60%1.2 mm
17%
Fri
13 Nov
16° 11°
50%0.9 mm
0%
Sat
14 Nov
14° 9°
50%1.5 mm
5%
Sun
15 Nov
10° 5°
33%0.0 mm
39%
Mon
16 Nov
12° 3°
33%0.0 mm
35%
Tue
17 Nov
14° 5°
33%0.0 mm
23%
Wed
18 Nov
13° 8°
50%0.8 mm
18%
Thu
19 Nov
15° 13°
100%6.3 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Bordeaux
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Bordeaux on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Bordeaux
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 12°/4° · 0.0 mm | 14°/5° · 0.0 mm | 15°/3° · 0.0 mm | 13°/4° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 1.2 mm | 19°/12° · 3.1 mm | 22°/15° · 1.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 11°/5° · 0.3 mm | 12°/4° · 0.0 mm | 13°/4° · 0.0 mm | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 0.0 mm | 20°/12° · 0.0 mm | 21°/16° · 1.0 mm |
| AIFS | 11°/2° · 0.0 mm | 12°/4° · 0.0 mm | 13°/2° · 0.0 mm | 13°/2° · 0.0 mm | 17°/5° · 0.4 mm | 18°/13° · 3.0 mm | 23°/16° · 1.0 mm |
| GFS | 12°/5° · 0.3 mm | 15°/6° · 0.0 mm | 16°/8° · 0.0 mm | 17°/8° · 0.0 mm | 18°/8° · 0.5 mm | 20°/12° · 3.1 mm | 21°/15° · 0.9 mm |
| ICON | 12°/4° · 0.0 mm | 14°/2° · 0.0 mm | 16°/2° · 0.0 mm | 16°/3° · 0.0 mm | 18°/9° · 9.3 mm | 19°/12° · 4.7 mm | 22°/15° · 1.8 mm |
| GEM | 12°/0° · 0.0 mm | 15°/1° · 0.0 mm | 16°/1° · 0.0 mm | 15°/2° · 0.0 mm | 19°/5° · 1.2 mm | 23°/11° · 0.0 mm | 25°/17° · 0.3 mm |
| JMA | 11°/3° · 0.0 mm | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 14°/3° · 0.0 mm | 11°/4° · 0.0 mm | 16°/10° · 3.8 mm | 19°/14° · 6.8 mm | 21°/15° · 4.8 mm |
| ARPEGE | 12°/4° · 0.0 mm | 14°/5° · 0.0 mm | 14°/3° · 0.0 mm | 13°/3° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 10°/7° · 2.9 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 15°/5° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 3.5 mm | 15°/10° · 1.6 mm | 18°/15° · 3.1 mm | - |
| CMA | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 14°/7° · 0.0 mm | 16°/8° · 0.0 mm | 15°/8° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Sunday
Confidence is only 41/100. ICON brings 9.3 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 15° (UKMO) to 19° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Bordeaux weather: questions
Will it rain in Bordeaux tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Bordeaux?
The next day most models agree on rain is Sunday 8 November: 57% of models, about 1.2 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Bordeaux today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 11°C with 0.3 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 12°C with 0.3 mm. The median of all 9 models is 12°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Bordeaux?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Bordeaux forecast this week?
The least certain day is Sunday (confidence 41/100): ICON forecasts 9.3 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology