Today
4 Nov
27° 19°
56%1.2 mm
45%
9 weather models · one stack
Kampala weather
Central Region, Uganda
0.32°, 32.55° · 1224 m
Local time 04:14
Confidence 45%
Kampala weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 27°C and a low of 19°C. Rain expected: 56% of models agree, about 1.2 mm. Tomorrow: 27°C. Rain expected: 56% of models agree, about 2.2 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
27° 19°
56%2.2 mm
29%
Fri
6 Nov
26° 19°
67%3.3 mm
47%
Sat
7 Nov
27° 19°
89%3.0 mm
68%
Sun
8 Nov
28° 19°
100%5.3 mm
67%
Mon
9 Nov
27° 19°
71%3.8 mm
46%
Tue
10 Nov
26° 19°
100%5.3 mm
78%
Wed
11 Nov
24° 19°
100%9.6 mm
73%
Thu
12 Nov
23° 19°
100%15 mm
63%
Fri
13 Nov
23° 19°
75%11 mm
63%
Sat
14 Nov
24° 18°
50%4.5 mm
21%
Sun
15 Nov
24° 18°
100%3.4 mm
69%
Mon
16 Nov
24° 19°
100%5.6 mm
88%
Tue
17 Nov
24° 19°
100%7.8 mm
79%
Wed
18 Nov
24° 19°
100%11 mm
66%
Thu
19 Nov
23° 17°
100%5.5 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Kampala
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Kampala on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Kampala
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 27°/19° · 1.2 mm | 27°/19° · 2.2 mm | 26°/19° · 3.3 mm | 27°/19° · 3.0 mm | 28°/19° · 5.3 mm | 27°/19° · 3.8 mm | 26°/19° · 5.3 mm |
| ECMWF | 26°/19° · 6.7 mm | 26°/19° · 6.6 mm | 27°/18° · 1.8 mm | 27°/18° · 8.4 mm | 26°/18° · 18 mm | 26°/19° · 3.6 mm | 27°/19° · 2.0 mm |
| AIFS | 26°/22° · 5.6 mm | 27°/22° · 2.4 mm | 26°/22° · 3.8 mm | 26°/22° · 5.4 mm | 25°/21° · 9.4 mm | 25°/21° · 3.8 mm | 26°/21° · 5.2 mm |
| GFS | 28°/19° · 4.1 mm | 31°/21° · 0.2 mm | 29°/19° · 0.8 mm | 29°/19° · 2.2 mm | 31°/18° · 4.5 mm | 29°/18° · 5.2 mm | 28°/18° · 4.3 mm |
| ICON | 27°/19° · 1.8 mm | 26°/19° · 2.2 mm | 26°/19° · 4.2 mm | 27°/21° · 2.0 mm | 28°/20° · 4.0 mm | 27°/20° · 10 mm | 25°/20° · 7.5 mm |
| GEM | 28°/19° · 0.1 mm | 29°/20° · 0.2 mm | 28°/19° · 0.0 mm | 29°/18° · 1.8 mm | 28°/18° · 3.9 mm | 29°/19° · 0.4 mm | 27°/19° · 5.3 mm |
| JMA | 26°/19° · 0.6 mm | 24°/19° · 6.0 mm | 24°/18° · 6.6 mm | 25°/19° · 3.0 mm | 24°/19° · 6.0 mm | 25°/18° · 5.4 mm | 24°/19° · 13 mm |
| ARPEGE | 28°/19° · 0.0 mm | 29°/18° · 0.9 mm | 28°/18° · 0.3 mm | 26°/20° · 4.2 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 28°/19° · 0.3 mm | 28°/19° · 2.7 mm | 26°/19° · 6.6 mm | 29°/19° · 0.9 mm | 29°/18° · 2.4 mm | 30°/19° · 0.6 mm | - |
| CMA | 26°/18° · 1.2 mm | 25°/18° · 0.0 mm | 26°/19° · 3.3 mm | 26°/19° · 6.7 mm | 29°/19° · 6.5 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Thursday
Confidence is only 29/100. ECMWF brings 6.6 mm of rain while CMA has 0.0 mm; highs range from 24° (JMA) to 31° (GFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Kampala weather: questions
Will it rain in Kampala tomorrow?
Rain expected: 56% of models agree, about 2.2 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 2.2 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 6.6 mm.
When will it rain next in Kampala?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 56% of models, about 1.2 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Kampala today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 26°C with 6.7 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 28°C with 4.1 mm. The median of all 9 models is 27°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Kampala?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Kampala forecast this week?
The least certain day is Thursday (confidence 29/100): ECMWF forecasts 6.6 mm of rain while CMA forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 00:49 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology