Today
4 Nov
10° 6°
0%0.0 mm
91%
9 weather models · one stack
Brest weather
Brittany Region, France
48.40°, -4.53° · 55 m
Local time 02:14
Confidence 91%
Brest weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 10°C and a low of 6°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 11°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Monday 9 November (71% of models, ~2.1 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
11° 5°
0%0.0 mm
95%
Fri
6 Nov
12° 6°
11%0.0 mm
82%
Sat
7 Nov
12° 6°
0%0.0 mm
87%
Sun
8 Nov
13° 5°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Mon
9 Nov
13° 9°
71%2.1 mm
55%
Tue
10 Nov
14° 12°
83%5.6 mm
50%
Wed
11 Nov
12° 10°
60%1.0 mm
43%
Thu
12 Nov
12° 8°
20%0.0 mm
54%
Fri
13 Nov
12° 7°
50%0.8 mm
48%
Sat
14 Nov
11° 7°
0%0.0 mm
88%
Sun
15 Nov
10° 5°
0%0.3 mm
83%
Mon
16 Nov
13° 10°
0%0.0 mm
66%
Tue
17 Nov
13° 9°
33%0.0 mm
42%
Wed
18 Nov
13° 10°
50%2.1 mm
32%
Thu
19 Nov
15° 10°
100%18 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Brest
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Brest on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Brest
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 10°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 13°/5° · 0.0 mm | 13°/9° · 2.1 mm | 14°/12° · 5.6 mm |
| ECMWF | 10°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/4° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 12°/4° · 0.0 mm | 14°/9° · 1.4 mm | 18°/14° · 2.2 mm |
| AIFS | 10°/8° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 13°/9° · 7.8 mm | 14°/12° · 14 mm |
| GFS | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 1.5 mm | 13°/6° · 0.5 mm | 13°/6° · 0.0 mm | 14°/7° · 0.0 mm | 14°/10° · 5.4 mm |
| ICON | 10°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/4° · 0.6 mm | 12°/7° · 0.1 mm | 12°/7° · 0.9 mm | 13°/5° · 0.0 mm | 12°/9° · 2.1 mm | 13°/11° · 5.7 mm |
| GEM | 9°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 13°/5° · 0.0 mm | 14°/5° · 0.2 mm | 15°/9° · 3.5 mm | 13°/12° · 24 mm |
| JMA | 11°/7° · 0.2 mm | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 12°/8° · 0.0 mm | 11°/4° · 0.4 mm | 9°/7° · 0.2 mm | 11°/8° · 0.0 mm | 11°/9° · 0.6 mm |
| ARPEGE | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 11°/3° · 0.5 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 10°/8° · 0.0 mm | 11°/7° · 0.5 mm | 13°/6° · 0.0 mm | 12°/7° · 0.9 mm | 13°/3° · 0.0 mm | 13°/9° · 17 mm | - |
| CMA | 10°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/4° · 0.0 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 13°/6° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Tuesday
Confidence is only 50/100. GEM brings 24 mm of rain while JMA has 0.6 mm; highs range from 11° (JMA) to 18° (ECMWF). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Brest weather: questions
Will it rain in Brest tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.6 mm.
When will it rain next in Brest?
The next day most models agree on rain is Monday 9 November: 71% of models, about 2.1 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Brest today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 10°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 11°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 10°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Brest?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Brest forecast this week?
The least certain day is Tuesday (confidence 50/100): GEM forecasts 24 mm of rain while JMA forecasts 0.6 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology