Today
4 Nov
30° 22°
0%0.0 mm
81%
9 weather models · one stack
Taipei weather
Taiwan, Taiwan
25.06°, 121.52° · 6 m
Local time 09:15
Confidence 81%
Taipei weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 30°C and a low of 22°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 29°C. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Next likely rain: Saturday 7 November (56% of models, ~1.3 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
29° 22°
11%0.1 mm
68%
Fri
6 Nov
25° 22°
11%0.2 mm
77%
Sat
7 Nov
25° 22°
56%1.3 mm
41%
Sun
8 Nov
28° 22°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Mon
9 Nov
25° 19°
86%7.9 mm
57%
Tue
10 Nov
20° 18°
71%3.9 mm
45%
Wed
11 Nov
22° 18°
20%0.3 mm
65%
Thu
12 Nov
25° 18°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Fri
13 Nov
26° 20°
0%0.0 mm
76%
Sat
14 Nov
28° 20°
0%0.2 mm
76%
Sun
15 Nov
26° 20°
33%0.3 mm
64%
Mon
16 Nov
26° 20°
67%2.4 mm
47%
Tue
17 Nov
27° 21°
0%0.3 mm
63%
Wed
18 Nov
27° 20°
100%7.5 mm
87%
Thu
19 Nov
22° 15°
100%54 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Taipei
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Taipei on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Taipei
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 30°/22° · 0.0 mm | 29°/22° · 0.1 mm | 25°/22° · 0.2 mm | 25°/22° · 1.3 mm | 28°/22° · 0.0 mm | 25°/19° · 7.9 mm | 20°/18° · 3.9 mm |
| ECMWF | 30°/21° · 0.0 mm | 30°/20° · 0.0 mm | 26°/22° · 0.2 mm | 25°/22° · 1.3 mm | 28°/22° · 0.0 mm | 28°/21° · 0.0 mm | 21°/19° · 3.9 mm |
| AIFS | 27°/20° · 0.6 mm | 26°/20° · 3.6 mm | 23°/20° · 5.7 mm | 23°/20° · 8.4 mm | 27°/20° · 0.3 mm | 22°/18° · 17 mm | 18°/16° · 30 mm |
| GFS | 30°/22° · 0.0 mm | 31°/23° · 0.0 mm | 24°/22° · 0.3 mm | 23°/22° · 2.9 mm | 24°/21° · 0.0 mm | 22°/19° · 7.9 mm | 20°/18° · 1.5 mm |
| ICON | 30°/22° · 0.0 mm | 30°/22° · 0.0 mm | 25°/22° · 0.0 mm | 25°/23° · 0.0 mm | 29°/23° · 0.0 mm | 24°/19° · 1.2 mm | 21°/18° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 29°/21° · 0.0 mm | 29°/20° · 0.7 mm | 25°/21° · 0.4 mm | 24°/21° · 1.8 mm | 28°/22° · 0.0 mm | 25°/15° · 12 mm | 18°/14° · 0.3 mm |
| JMA | 30°/22° · 0.0 mm | 28°/22° · 0.0 mm | 25°/23° · 0.1 mm | 24°/22° · 2.0 mm | 27°/23° · 0.0 mm | 25°/19° · 16 mm | 19°/18° · 13 mm |
| ARPEGE | 30°/24° · 0.0 mm | 30°/24° · 0.2 mm | 26°/24° · 0.6 mm | 27°/25° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 29°/22° · 0.0 mm | 29°/23° · 0.1 mm | 25°/21° · 0.1 mm | 25°/22° · 0.0 mm | 27°/22° · 0.0 mm | 26°/21° · 3.3 mm | 23°/21° · 7.5 mm |
| CMA | 27°/21° · 0.0 mm | 27°/21° · 0.3 mm | 24°/21° · 0.0 mm | 25°/22° · 0.9 mm | 28°/22° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Saturday
Confidence is only 41/100. AIFS brings 8.4 mm of rain while ICON has 0.0 mm; highs range from 23° (AIFS) to 27° (ARPEGE). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Taipei weather: questions
Will it rain in Taipei tomorrow?
Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.1 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 3.6 mm.
When will it rain next in Taipei?
The next day most models agree on rain is Saturday 7 November: 56% of models, about 1.3 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Taipei today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 30°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 30°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 30°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Taipei?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Taipei forecast this week?
The least certain day is Saturday (confidence 41/100): AIFS forecasts 8.4 mm of rain while ICON forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:15 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology