Today
4 Nov
27° 22°
0%0.0 mm
91%
9 weather models · one stack
Okinawa weather
Okinawa, Japan
26.47°, 127.96° · 95 m
Local time 10:16
Confidence 91%
Okinawa weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 27°C and a low of 22°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 27°C. A chance of showers: 22% of models show rain, up to 2.3 mm. Next likely rain: Friday 13 November (60% of models, ~1.0 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
27° 22°
22%0.3 mm
71%
Fri
6 Nov
25° 22°
0%0.0 mm
89%
Sat
7 Nov
23° 22°
0%0.0 mm
87%
Sun
8 Nov
24° 22°
0%0.0 mm
92%
Mon
9 Nov
24° 22°
29%0.3 mm
60%
Tue
10 Nov
23° 21°
14%0.6 mm
70%
Wed
11 Nov
23° 20°
20%0.3 mm
77%
Thu
12 Nov
23° 20°
40%0.6 mm
54%
Fri
13 Nov
25° 22°
60%1.0 mm
47%
Sat
14 Nov
26° 24°
75%1.7 mm
59%
Sun
15 Nov
26° 22°
67%11 mm
60%
Mon
16 Nov
26° 22°
33%0.8 mm
58%
Tue
17 Nov
25° 21°
67%9.0 mm
65%
Wed
18 Nov
25° 21°
67%2.8 mm
55%
Thu
19 Nov
22° 17°
100%45 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Okinawa
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Okinawa on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Okinawa
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 27°/22° · 0.0 mm | 27°/22° · 0.3 mm | 25°/22° · 0.0 mm | 23°/22° · 0.0 mm | 24°/22° · 0.0 mm | 24°/22° · 0.3 mm | 23°/21° · 0.6 mm |
| ECMWF | 27°/22° · 0.0 mm | 27°/21° · 0.7 mm | 26°/22° · 0.0 mm | 24°/22° · 0.0 mm | 24°/22° · 0.0 mm | 24°/22° · 0.3 mm | 23°/21° · 0.6 mm |
| AIFS | 26°/24° · 0.0 mm | 25°/24° · 1.2 mm | 24°/24° · 0.0 mm | 24°/23° · 0.0 mm | 24°/23° · 0.0 mm | 24°/24° · 0.0 mm | 24°/22° · 5.0 mm |
| GFS | 26°/20° · 0.7 mm | 26°/19° · 0.3 mm | 25°/20° · 0.0 mm | 23°/19° · 0.1 mm | 24°/19° · 0.8 mm | 24°/19° · 2.3 mm | 21°/18° · 0.3 mm |
| ICON | 27°/22° · 0.0 mm | 27°/22° · 0.2 mm | 24°/22° · 0.0 mm | 23°/21° · 0.0 mm | 25°/22° · 0.0 mm | 27°/22° · 0.0 mm | 22°/20° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 26°/23° · 0.0 mm | 26°/22° · 0.3 mm | 24°/23° · 0.0 mm | 23°/22° · 0.0 mm | 25°/22° · 0.0 mm | 25°/21° · 2.0 mm | 21°/19° · 0.7 mm |
| JMA | 28°/23° · 0.0 mm | 27°/22° · 2.3 mm | 26°/23° · 0.0 mm | 25°/23° · 0.0 mm | 26°/23° · 0.0 mm | 26°/23° · 0.4 mm | 23°/21° · 0.8 mm |
| ARPEGE | 27°/23° · 0.0 mm | 27°/22° · 0.1 mm | 25°/23° · 0.0 mm | 25°/23° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 27°/20° · 0.0 mm | 26°/18° · 0.4 mm | 25°/20° · 0.0 mm | 23°/20° · 0.0 mm | 24°/21° · 0.0 mm | 24°/19° · 0.0 mm | 23°/21° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 26°/20° · 0.0 mm | 27°/17° · 0.0 mm | 24°/19° · 0.0 mm | 23°/19° · 0.0 mm | 24°/19° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 60/100. GFS brings 2.3 mm of rain while AIFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 24° (AIFS) to 27° (ICON). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Okinawa weather: questions
Will it rain in Okinawa tomorrow?
A chance of showers: 22% of models show rain, up to 2.3 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.3 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 2.3 mm.
When will it rain next in Okinawa?
The next day most models agree on rain is Friday 13 November: 60% of models, about 1.0 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Okinawa today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 27°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 26°C with 0.7 mm. The median of all 9 models is 27°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Okinawa?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Okinawa forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 60/100): GFS forecasts 2.3 mm of rain while AIFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology