Today
3 Nov
69° 47°
0%0.00 in
84%
9 weather models · one stack
Philadelphia weather
Pennsylvania, United States
39.96°, -75.17° · 16 m
Local time 20:16
Confidence 84%
Philadelphia weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 69°F and a low of 47°F. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 72°F. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Thursday 5 November (78% of models, ~0.06 in).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
72° 52°
0%0.00 in
82%
Thu
5 Nov
70° 60°
78%0.06 in
57%
Fri
6 Nov
69° 59°
78%0.25 in
57%
Sat
7 Nov
60° 49°
0%0.00 in
79%
Sun
8 Nov
58° 46°
0%0.00 in
80%
Mon
9 Nov
58° 46°
0%0.00 in
79%
Tue
10 Nov
62° 43°
0%0.00 in
63%
Wed
11 Nov
57° 45°
0%0.00 in
72%
Thu
12 Nov
52° 40°
0%0.00 in
60%
Fri
13 Nov
54° 41°
0%0.00 in
45%
Sat
14 Nov
66° 39°
0%0.00 in
53%
Sun
15 Nov
63° 44°
0%0.00 in
45%
Mon
16 Nov
68° 49°
33%0.00 in
15%
Tue
17 Nov
65° 53°
33%0.00 in
15%
Wed
18 Nov
56° 45°
0%0.00 in
46%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Philadelphia
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Philadelphia on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Philadelphia
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 69°/47° · 0.00 in | 72°/52° · 0.00 in | 70°/60° · 0.06 in | 69°/59° · 0.25 in | 60°/49° · 0.00 in | 58°/46° · 0.00 in | 58°/46° · 0.00 in |
| ECMWF | 69°/44° · 0.00 in | 72°/52° · 0.00 in | 74°/59° · 0.11 in | 71°/60° · 0.07 in | 59°/48° · 0.00 in | 59°/45° · 0.00 in | 57°/42° · 0.01 in |
| AIFS | 69°/44° · 0.00 in | 74°/50° · 0.00 in | 71°/61° · 0.23 in | 70°/59° · 0.15 in | 60°/49° · 0.00 in | 58°/46° · 0.00 in | 61°/47° · 0.00 in |
| GFS | 70°/46° · 0.00 in | 71°/50° · 0.00 in | 72°/55° · 0.01 in | 65°/59° · 2.07 in | 58°/49° · 0.00 in | 58°/51° · 0.00 in | 61°/48° · 0.00 in |
| ICON | 69°/48° · 0.00 in | 74°/52° · 0.00 in | 69°/60° · 0.05 in | 71°/58° · 0.02 in | 65°/49° · 0.00 in | 58°/42° · 0.00 in | 59°/42° · 0.00 in |
| GEM | 70°/47° · 0.00 in | 76°/52° · 0.00 in | 74°/61° · <0.01 in | 69°/57° · 1.70 in | 62°/47° · 0.00 in | 58°/47° · 0.00 in | 55°/41° · 0.00 in |
| JMA | 66°/49° · 0.00 in | 71°/54° · 0.00 in | 68°/62° · 0.23 in | 72°/61° · 0.36 in | 62°/50° · 0.00 in | 56°/45° · 0.00 in | 58°/48° · 0.00 in |
| ARPEGE | 68°/46° · 0.00 in | 72°/51° · 0.00 in | 66°/57° · 0.12 in | 67°/58° · 0.25 in | 64°/55° · 0.00 in | - | - |
| UKMO | 66°/47° · 0.00 in | 72°/55° · 0.00 in | 68°/62° · 0.06 in | 66°/61° · 0.03 in | 60°/51° · 0.00 in | 52°/47° · 0.00 in | 54°/46° · 0.00 in |
| CMA | 65°/49° · 0.00 in | 69°/55° · 0.00 in | 70°/60° · 0.04 in | 64°/55° · 0.85 in | 58°/48° · 0.00 in | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Thursday
Confidence is only 57/100. AIFS brings 0.23 in of rain while GEM has <0.01 in; highs range from 66° (ARPEGE) to 74° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Philadelphia weather: questions
Will it rain in Philadelphia tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.00 in, ranging from 0.00 in to 0.00 in.
When will it rain next in Philadelphia?
The next day most models agree on rain is Thursday 5 November: 78% of models, about 0.06 in.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Philadelphia today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 69°F with 0.00 in of rain; GFS (the American model) says 70°F with 0.00 in. The median of all 9 models is 69°F.
Which weather model is most accurate for Philadelphia?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Philadelphia forecast this week?
The least certain day is Thursday (confidence 57/100): AIFS forecasts 0.23 in of rain while GEM forecasts <0.01 in.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:13 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology