Today
3 Nov
12° 8°
44%0.9 mm
56%
9 weather models · one stack
Halifax weather
Nova Scotia, Canada
44.60°, -63.55° · 44 m
Local time 21:14
Confidence 56%
Halifax weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 12°C and a low of 8°C. A chance of showers: 44% of models show rain, up to 4.5 mm. Tomorrow: 12°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 9.0 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
12° 8°
100%9.0 mm
90%
Thu
5 Nov
14° 9°
0%0.0 mm
79%
Fri
6 Nov
16° 13°
78%6.9 mm
57%
Sat
7 Nov
15° 13°
89%22 mm
78%
Sun
8 Nov
15° 10°
100%15 mm
92%
Mon
9 Nov
11° 6°
43%0.3 mm
41%
Tue
10 Nov
9° 5°
17%0.2 mm
59%
Wed
11 Nov
9° 3°
40%0.9 mm
44%
Thu
12 Nov
6° 0°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Fri
13 Nov
6° 1°
0%0.0 mm
50%
Sat
14 Nov
8° -1°
0%0.0 mm
69%
Sun
15 Nov
7° 3°
33%0.0 mm
16%
Mon
16 Nov
7° 1°
0%0.0 mm
45%
Tue
17 Nov
14° 7°
33%0.6 mm
15%
Wed
18 Nov
13° 6°
50%9.6 mm
17%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Halifax
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Halifax on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Halifax
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 12°/8° · 0.9 mm | 12°/8° · 9.0 mm | 14°/9° · 0.0 mm | 16°/13° · 6.9 mm | 15°/13° · 22 mm | 15°/10° · 15 mm | 11°/6° · 0.3 mm |
| ECMWF | 12°/8° · 0.4 mm | 13°/8° · 5.9 mm | 16°/8° · 0.0 mm | 18°/13° · 0.5 mm | 16°/12° · 22 mm | 14°/10° · 23 mm | 13°/6° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 12°/7° · 0.9 mm | 12°/7° · 9.0 mm | 14°/10° · 0.3 mm | 17°/13° · 5.7 mm | 15°/14° · 18 mm | 15°/10° · 22 mm | 13°/6° · 1.8 mm |
| GFS | 12°/8° · 0.4 mm | 11°/8° · 13 mm | 15°/9° · 0.7 mm | 15°/12° · 0.7 mm | 15°/12° · 0.6 mm | 15°/9° · 7.4 mm | 10°/4° · 0.3 mm |
| ICON | 12°/8° · 1.7 mm | 12°/8° · 7.8 mm | 14°/9° · 0.0 mm | 15°/13° · 8.2 mm | 15°/13° · 19 mm | 15°/6° · 15 mm | 9°/4° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 12°/8° · 0.0 mm | 12°/9° · 7.0 mm | 14°/9° · 0.0 mm | 17°/14° · 6.9 mm | 15°/14° · 44 mm | 15°/12° · 78 mm | 11°/8° · 2.4 mm |
| JMA | 12°/9° · 4.5 mm | 12°/8° · 9.9 mm | 12°/10° · 0.3 mm | 14°/12° · 22 mm | 14°/13° · 20 mm | 14°/10° · 11 mm | 11°/9° · 2.1 mm |
| ARPEGE | 11°/7° · 1.2 mm | 11°/7° · 14 mm | 12°/9° · 0.0 mm | 14°/12° · 9.3 mm | 15°/13° · 26 mm | - | - |
| UKMO | 12°/9° · 0.1 mm | 11°/7° · 17 mm | 13°/10° · 0.0 mm | 16°/12° · 9.9 mm | 16°/13° · 52 mm | 16°/9° · 12 mm | 12°/8° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 12°/8° · 2.7 mm | 13°/7° · 7.5 mm | 15°/9° · 0.0 mm | 18°/13° · 3.3 mm | 17°/13° · 22 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 41/100. GEM brings 2.4 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 9° (ICON) to 13° (ECMWF). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Halifax weather: questions
Will it rain in Halifax tomorrow?
Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 9.0 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 9.0 mm, ranging from 5.9 mm to 17 mm.
When will it rain next in Halifax?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 100% of models, about 9.0 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Halifax today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 12°C with 0.4 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 12°C with 0.4 mm. The median of all 9 models is 12°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Halifax?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Halifax forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 41/100): GEM forecasts 2.4 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology