Today
3 Nov
19° 13°
89%9.8 mm
62%
9 weather models · one stack
Santiago weather
Santiago Metropolitan, Chile
-33.43°, -70.64° · 549 m
Local time 22:18
Confidence 62%
Santiago weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 19°C and a low of 13°C. Rain expected: 89% of models agree, about 9.8 mm. Tomorrow: 23°C. Dry: no model shows rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Wed
4 Nov
23° 11°
0%0.0 mm
87%
Thu
5 Nov
25° 12°
0%0.0 mm
85%
Fri
6 Nov
18° 11°
22%0.0 mm
55%
Sat
7 Nov
27° 10°
0%0.0 mm
68%
Sun
8 Nov
32° 14°
0%0.0 mm
67%
Mon
9 Nov
24° 15°
57%2.9 mm
20%
Tue
10 Nov
26° 15°
50%0.8 mm
13%
Wed
11 Nov
32° 18°
0%0.0 mm
83%
Thu
12 Nov
31° 18°
0%0.0 mm
68%
Fri
13 Nov
28° 18°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Sat
14 Nov
24° 17°
33%0.6 mm
44%
Sun
15 Nov
25° 14°
0%0.0 mm
76%
Mon
16 Nov
28° 15°
0%0.0 mm
61%
Tue
17 Nov
24° 15°
33%0.2 mm
15%
Wed
18 Nov
23° 13°
50%0.8 mm
0%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Santiago
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Santiago on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Santiago
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 19°/13° · 9.8 mm | 23°/11° · 0.0 mm | 25°/12° · 0.0 mm | 18°/11° · 0.0 mm | 27°/10° · 0.0 mm | 32°/14° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 2.9 mm |
| ECMWF | 19°/13° · 16 mm | 22°/11° · 0.0 mm | 22°/11° · 0.0 mm | 17°/10° · 0.1 mm | 27°/9° · 0.0 mm | 32°/15° · 0.0 mm | 24°/15° · 2.9 mm |
| AIFS | 19°/13° · 9.8 mm | 23°/11° · 0.0 mm | 23°/11° · 0.0 mm | 16°/11° · 3.0 mm | 24°/8° · 0.0 mm | 29°/12° · 0.0 mm | 28°/14° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 20°/13° · 2.5 mm | 24°/12° · 0.0 mm | 26°/14° · 0.0 mm | 20°/12° · 0.0 mm | 22°/10° · 0.0 mm | 29°/13° · 0.0 mm | 27°/15° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 19°/13° · 15 mm | 23°/11° · 0.0 mm | 25°/11° · 0.0 mm | 17°/12° · 0.0 mm | 27°/9° · 0.0 mm | 33°/13° · 0.0 mm | 23°/15° · 5.5 mm |
| GEM | 20°/11° · 9.7 mm | 23°/9° · 0.0 mm | 25°/11° · 0.0 mm | 21°/10° · 0.0 mm | 28°/9° · 0.0 mm | 31°/14° · 0.0 mm | 24°/16° · 5.2 mm |
| JMA | 17°/15° · 1.6 mm | 22°/14° · 0.0 mm | 23°/16° · 0.2 mm | 17°/12° · 1.6 mm | 29°/15° · 0.0 mm | 33°/20° · 0.0 mm | 30°/21° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 20°/14° · 16 mm | 22°/11° · 0.0 mm | 25°/13° · 0.0 mm | 18°/12° · 0.6 mm | 25°/10° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
| UKMO | 16°/12° · 10 mm | 24°/10° · 0.0 mm | 25°/13° · 0.0 mm | 20°/9° · 0.0 mm | 28°/12° · 0.0 mm | 34°/17° · 0.0 mm | 24°/13° · 14 mm |
| CMA | 23°/10° · 0.0 mm | 24°/10° · 0.0 mm | 24°/12° · 0.0 mm | 20°/10° · 0.0 mm | 28°/11° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 20/100. UKMO brings 14 mm of rain while AIFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 23° (ICON) to 30° (JMA). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Santiago weather: questions
Will it rain in Santiago tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Santiago?
The next day most models agree on rain is Tuesday 3 November: 89% of models, about 9.8 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Santiago today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 19°C with 16 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 20°C with 2.5 mm. The median of all 9 models is 19°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Santiago?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Santiago forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 20/100): UKMO forecasts 14 mm of rain while AIFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:17 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology