Today
4 Nov
13° 5°
0%0.0 mm
75%
9 weather models · one stack
Beijing weather
Beijing Municipality, China
39.89°, 116.36° · 47 m
Local time 09:14
Confidence 75%
Beijing weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 13°C and a low of 5°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 16°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Next likely rain: Saturday 7 November (100% of models, ~6.9 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
16° 5°
0%0.0 mm
86%
Fri
6 Nov
13° 3°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Sat
7 Nov
7° 1°
100%6.9 mm
63%
Sun
8 Nov
6° 0°
100%10 mm
63%
Mon
9 Nov
10° -2°
0%0.0 mm
48%
Tue
10 Nov
13° 0°
0%0.0 mm
45%
Wed
11 Nov
13° -0°
0%0.0 mm
45%
Thu
12 Nov
13° 1°
0%0.0 mm
46%
Fri
13 Nov
14° 3°
0%0.0 mm
45%
Sat
14 Nov
13° 6°
0%0.0 mm
58%
Sun
15 Nov
11° 6°
0%0.6 mm
72%
Mon
16 Nov
10° 4°
0%0.0 mm
77%
Tue
17 Nov
10° 4°
33%0.9 mm
49%
Wed
18 Nov
9° 0°
0%0.0 mm
67%
Thu
19 Nov
11° 4°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Beijing
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Beijing on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Beijing
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 13°/5° · 0.0 mm | 16°/5° · 0.0 mm | 13°/3° · 0.0 mm | 7°/1° · 6.9 mm | 6°/0° · 10 mm | 10°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 13°/0° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 16°/5° · 0.0 mm | 12°/3° · 0.0 mm | 5°/1° · 10 mm | 2°/-1° · 14 mm | 5°/-3° · 0.0 mm | 11°/-1° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 12°/3° · 0.0 mm | 18°/5° · 0.0 mm | 13°/3° · 0.0 mm | 3°/1° · 13 mm | 5°/-0° · 7.2 mm | 11°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 15°/-1° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 15°/11° · 0.0 mm | 16°/10° · 0.0 mm | 13°/9° · 0.0 mm | 12°/4° · 2.8 mm | 8°/3° · 13 mm | 11°/4° · 0.0 mm | 13°/6° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 13°/2° · 0.0 mm | 16°/3° · 0.0 mm | 12°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 7°/-1° · 6.9 mm | 7°/1° · 4.8 mm | 10°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 14°/0° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 13°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 16°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 13°/-6° · 0.0 mm | 5°/-5° · 14 mm | 2°/-3° · 13 mm | 2°/-7° · 0.0 mm | 4°/-11° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 17°/5° · 0.0 mm | 18°/7° · 0.0 mm | 14°/5° · 0.0 mm | 10°/2° · 6.3 mm | 8°/2° · 4.5 mm | 12°/3° · 0.0 mm | 14°/1° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 13°/4° · 0.0 mm | 17°/2° · 0.0 mm | 13°/1° · 0.0 mm | 7°/2° · 4.5 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 12°/7° · 0.0 mm | 17°/7° · 0.0 mm | 11°/5° · 0.0 mm | 8°/1° · 7.2 mm | 3°/0° · 16 mm | 7°/0° · 0.0 mm | 9°/1° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 15°/5° · 0.0 mm | 10°/1° · 0.0 mm | 8°/1° · 5.7 mm | 7°/2° · 5.1 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Tuesday
Confidence is only 45/100. ECMWF brings 0.0 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 4° (GEM) to 15° (AIFS). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Beijing weather: questions
Will it rain in Beijing tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.0 mm.
When will it rain next in Beijing?
The next day most models agree on rain is Saturday 7 November: 100% of models, about 6.9 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Beijing today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 12°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 15°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 13°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Beijing?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Beijing forecast this week?
The least certain day is Tuesday (confidence 45/100): ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology