Today
4 Nov
18° 11°
11%0.2 mm
78%
9 weather models · one stack
Busan weather
Busan, South Korea
35.11°, 128.98° · 16 m
Local time 10:14
Confidence 78%
Busan weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 18°C and a low of 11°C. Dry: only 11% of models show rain. Tomorrow: 19°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 25 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
19° 13°
100%25 mm
77%
Fri
6 Nov
15° 8°
0%0.0 mm
77%
Sat
7 Nov
12° 6°
0%0.0 mm
83%
Sun
8 Nov
14° 5°
0%0.0 mm
78%
Mon
9 Nov
16° 10°
43%0.0 mm
29%
Tue
10 Nov
15° 9°
29%0.4 mm
46%
Wed
11 Nov
16° 7°
0%0.0 mm
74%
Thu
12 Nov
17° 8°
0%0.0 mm
86%
Fri
13 Nov
17° 8°
0%0.0 mm
82%
Sat
14 Nov
18° 11°
50%1.1 mm
38%
Sun
15 Nov
17° 14°
100%14 mm
92%
Mon
16 Nov
19° 15°
67%5.6 mm
44%
Tue
17 Nov
17° 13°
33%0.2 mm
43%
Wed
18 Nov
15° 13°
67%9.0 mm
28%
Thu
19 Nov
14° 7°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Busan
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Busan on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Busan
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 18°/11° · 0.2 mm | 19°/13° · 25 mm | 15°/8° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 14°/5° · 0.0 mm | 16°/10° · 0.0 mm | 15°/9° · 0.4 mm |
| ECMWF | 16°/8° · 0.4 mm | 19°/11° · 24 mm | 14°/6° · 0.0 mm | 11°/4° · 0.0 mm | 12°/2° · 0.0 mm | 16°/5° · 0.0 mm | 15°/5° · 0.6 mm |
| AIFS | 17°/8° · 0.6 mm | 17°/13° · 26 mm | 17°/8° · 0.0 mm | 14°/5° · 0.0 mm | 14°/4° · 0.0 mm | 17°/10° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 1.2 mm |
| GFS | 17°/13° · 0.2 mm | 16°/13° · 19 mm | 14°/8° · 0.0 mm | 11°/6° · 0.0 mm | 13°/7° · 0.0 mm | 11°/7° · 0.0 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 17°/10° · 0.2 mm | 17°/15° · 23 mm | 15°/6° · 0.0 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 13°/6° · 0.0 mm | 13°/10° · 18 mm | 14°/9° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 18°/11° · 0.0 mm | 19°/13° · 28 mm | 13°/7° · 0.0 mm | 12°/6° · 0.0 mm | 16°/5° · 0.0 mm | 18°/12° · 24 mm | 12°/8° · 12 mm |
| JMA | 18°/12° · 0.0 mm | 18°/13° · 70 mm | 16°/9° · 0.0 mm | 14°/8° · 0.0 mm | 16°/12° · 0.0 mm | 16°/10° · 0.0 mm | 15°/9° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 19°/15° · 2.0 mm | 20°/15° · 25 mm | 16°/11° · 0.0 mm | 13°/10° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 18°/11° · 0.0 mm | 20°/14° · 36 mm | 16°/9° · 0.0 mm | 13°/6° · 0.0 mm | 15°/7° · 0.0 mm | 16°/11° · 1.7 mm | 17°/13° · 0.4 mm |
| CMA | 18°/7° · 0.3 mm | 19°/10° · 18 mm | 12°/3° · 0.0 mm | 11°/1° · 0.0 mm | 14°/1° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 29/100. GEM brings 24 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 11° (GFS) to 18° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Busan weather: questions
Will it rain in Busan tomorrow?
Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 25 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 25 mm, ranging from 18 mm to 70 mm.
When will it rain next in Busan?
The next day most models agree on rain is Thursday 5 November: 100% of models, about 25 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Busan today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 16°C with 0.4 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 17°C with 0.2 mm. The median of all 9 models is 18°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Busan?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Busan forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 29/100): GEM forecasts 24 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:14 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology