Today
4 Nov
19° 14°
22%0.4 mm
69%
9 weather models · one stack
Fukuoka weather
Fukuoka, Japan
33.64°, 130.42° · 15 m
Local time 10:19
Confidence 69%
Fukuoka weather today: 9 models agree with medium confidence on a high of 19°C and a low of 14°C. A chance of showers: 22% of models show rain, up to 2.2 mm. Tomorrow: 21°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 14 mm.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
21° 16°
100%14 mm
84%
Fri
6 Nov
19° 13°
0%0.0 mm
85%
Sat
7 Nov
14° 9°
0%0.0 mm
82%
Sun
8 Nov
17° 9°
0%0.0 mm
79%
Mon
9 Nov
18° 12°
29%0.0 mm
52%
Tue
10 Nov
16° 11°
29%0.6 mm
61%
Wed
11 Nov
18° 9°
0%0.0 mm
75%
Thu
12 Nov
19° 9°
0%0.0 mm
84%
Fri
13 Nov
19° 10°
0%0.0 mm
78%
Sat
14 Nov
21° 12°
50%0.5 mm
16%
Sun
15 Nov
18° 14°
100%3.4 mm
92%
Mon
16 Nov
19° 17°
67%6.2 mm
50%
Tue
17 Nov
21° 15°
67%1.8 mm
38%
Wed
18 Nov
16° 15°
67%23 mm
31%
Thu
19 Nov
15° 11°
100%8.7 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Fukuoka
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Fukuoka on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
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What each model says for Fukuoka
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 19°/14° · 0.4 mm | 21°/16° · 14 mm | 19°/13° · 0.0 mm | 14°/9° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 0.0 mm | 18°/12° · 0.0 mm | 16°/11° · 0.6 mm |
| ECMWF | 19°/13° · 0.2 mm | 20°/16° · 15 mm | 18°/13° · 0.0 mm | 13°/9° · 0.0 mm | 16°/9° · 0.0 mm | 18°/11° · 0.0 mm | 17°/11° · 0.6 mm |
| AIFS | 20°/13° · 2.2 mm | 21°/16° · 17 mm | 20°/13° · 0.4 mm | 16°/8° · 0.0 mm | 16°/8° · 0.0 mm | 19°/13° · 0.0 mm | 17°/11° · 2.4 mm |
| GFS | 18°/14° · 0.2 mm | 19°/15° · 14 mm | 19°/13° · 0.3 mm | 14°/11° · 0.0 mm | 17°/10° · 0.0 mm | 16°/11° · 0.0 mm | 15°/10° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 18°/14° · 0.6 mm | 21°/17° · 9.5 mm | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 14°/9° · 0.0 mm | 14°/8° · 0.0 mm | 16°/11° · 11 mm | 16°/13° · 0.2 mm |
| GEM | 20°/15° · 0.0 mm | 23°/16° · 6.6 mm | 18°/13° · 0.0 mm | 14°/11° · 0.0 mm | 18°/10° · 0.0 mm | 20°/13° · 9.9 mm | 15°/13° · 17 mm |
| JMA | 20°/14° · 1.9 mm | 22°/16° · 14 mm | 19°/16° · 0.0 mm | 16°/11° · 0.0 mm | 19°/10° · 0.0 mm | 18°/12° · 0.0 mm | 15°/10° · 0.6 mm |
| ARPEGE | 19°/12° · 0.4 mm | 21°/15° · 9.1 mm | 19°/12° · 0.0 mm | 16°/9° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 20°/15° · 0.0 mm | 22°/17° · 14 mm | 18°/16° · 0.0 mm | 16°/12° · 0.0 mm | 17°/9° · 0.0 mm | 19°/14° · 0.0 mm | 17°/13° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 19°/14° · 0.8 mm | 21°/16° · 5.2 mm | 17°/12° · 0.0 mm | 13°/9° · 0.0 mm | 16°/7° · 0.0 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 52/100. ICON brings 11 mm of rain while ECMWF has 0.0 mm; highs range from 16° (ICON) to 20° (GEM). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Fukuoka weather: questions
Will it rain in Fukuoka tomorrow?
Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 14 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 14 mm, ranging from 5.2 mm to 17 mm.
When will it rain next in Fukuoka?
The next day most models agree on rain is Thursday 5 November: 100% of models, about 14 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Fukuoka today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 19°C with 0.2 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 18°C with 0.2 mm. The median of all 9 models is 19°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Fukuoka?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Fukuoka forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 52/100): ICON forecasts 11 mm of rain while ECMWF forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:18 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology