Today
4 Nov
19° 17°
100%29 mm
94%
9 weather models · one stack
Shanghai weather
Shanghai Municipality, China
31.18°, 121.46° · 7 m
Local time 09:16
Confidence 94%
Shanghai weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 19°C and a low of 17°C. Rain expected: 100% of models agree, about 29 mm. Tomorrow: 19°C. Dry: no model shows rain.
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
19° 15°
0%0.0 mm
87%
Fri
6 Nov
19° 14°
11%0.0 mm
77%
Sat
7 Nov
19° 15°
11%0.0 mm
78%
Sun
8 Nov
19° 16°
100%4.8 mm
73%
Mon
9 Nov
17° 13°
71%4.5 mm
65%
Tue
10 Nov
17° 11°
0%0.0 mm
75%
Wed
11 Nov
17° 10°
0%0.0 mm
76%
Thu
12 Nov
21° 12°
0%0.0 mm
86%
Fri
13 Nov
21° 16°
40%0.3 mm
31%
Sat
14 Nov
20° 17°
75%3.6 mm
41%
Sun
15 Nov
23° 17°
67%2.1 mm
25%
Mon
16 Nov
19° 16°
33%0.6 mm
61%
Tue
17 Nov
19° 16°
67%8.7 mm
45%
Wed
18 Nov
16° 10°
100%7.5 mm
55%
Thu
19 Nov
13° 10°
100%3.9 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Shanghai
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Shanghai on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Shanghai
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 19°/17° · 29 mm | 19°/15° · 0.0 mm | 19°/14° · 0.0 mm | 19°/15° · 0.0 mm | 19°/16° · 4.8 mm | 17°/13° · 4.5 mm | 17°/11° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 19°/16° · 24 mm | 20°/15° · 0.1 mm | 20°/13° · 0.0 mm | 19°/15° · 0.0 mm | 18°/15° · 19 mm | 17°/14° · 18 mm | 17°/11° · 0.3 mm |
| AIFS | 19°/17° · 29 mm | 19°/15° · 0.0 mm | 21°/14° · 0.0 mm | 20°/16° · 0.6 mm | 18°/16° · 14 mm | 17°/11° · 11 mm | 15°/9° · 0.3 mm |
| GFS | 19°/17° · 36 mm | 19°/16° · 0.0 mm | 18°/16° · 1.5 mm | 18°/15° · 0.5 mm | 16°/14° · 4.2 mm | 17°/14° · 0.9 mm | 17°/13° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 19°/17° · 29 mm | 20°/15° · 0.0 mm | 19°/15° · 0.0 mm | 18°/15° · 0.0 mm | 19°/16° · 5.1 mm | 18°/10° · 2.1 mm | 14°/6° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 20°/17° · 35 mm | 18°/12° · 0.3 mm | 19°/10° · 0.0 mm | 20°/13° · 0.0 mm | 20°/17° · 3.6 mm | 16°/6° · 0.0 mm | 13°/3° · 0.0 mm |
| JMA | 19°/16° · 23 mm | 19°/15° · 0.0 mm | 21°/15° · 0.0 mm | 20°/17° · 0.0 mm | 21°/17° · 4.5 mm | 17°/13° · 4.5 mm | 17°/12° · 0.6 mm |
| ARPEGE | 19°/16° · 41 mm | 18°/14° · 0.0 mm | 19°/14° · 0.0 mm | 19°/15° · 1.5 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 20°/18° · 23 mm | 19°/15° · 0.2 mm | 20°/16° · 0.0 mm | 19°/18° · 0.0 mm | 20°/17° · 4.2 mm | 18°/15° · 7.8 mm | 17°/15° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 20°/17° · 24 mm | 20°/14° · 0.0 mm | 19°/13° · 0.0 mm | 18°/13° · 0.0 mm | 20°/16° · 8.4 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Monday
Confidence is only 65/100. ECMWF brings 18 mm of rain while GEM has 0.0 mm; highs range from 16° (GEM) to 18° (UKMO). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Shanghai weather: questions
Will it rain in Shanghai tomorrow?
Dry: no model shows rain. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.0 mm, ranging from 0.0 mm to 0.3 mm.
When will it rain next in Shanghai?
The next day most models agree on rain is Wednesday 4 November: 100% of models, about 29 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Shanghai today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 19°C with 24 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 19°C with 36 mm. The median of all 9 models is 19°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Shanghai?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Shanghai forecast this week?
The least certain day is Monday (confidence 65/100): ECMWF forecasts 18 mm of rain while GEM forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology