Today
4 Nov
17° 7°
0%0.0 mm
89%
9 weather models · one stack
Seoul weather
Seoul, South Korea
37.57°, 126.96° · 34 m
Local time 10:16
Confidence 89%
Seoul weather today: 9 models agree with high confidence on a high of 17°C and a low of 7°C. Dry: no model shows rain. Tomorrow: 16°C. A chance of showers: 44% of models show rain, up to 8.9 mm. Next likely rain: Sunday 15 November (67% of models, ~5.0 mm).
The stack
Each row is one weather model, each cell one hour. Same colour across rows = the models agree. Tap a model to hide it; hover for exact values.
16-day consensus
Each coloured line is one model's low→high; the dots are their highs. A tight cluster means a confident forecast.
Thu
5 Nov
16° 10°
44%0.9 mm
36%
Fri
6 Nov
12° 4°
0%0.0 mm
80%
Sat
7 Nov
9° 1°
0%0.0 mm
79%
Sun
8 Nov
8° 1°
50%0.9 mm
25%
Mon
9 Nov
10° 2°
14%0.0 mm
64%
Tue
10 Nov
11° -0°
0%0.0 mm
75%
Wed
11 Nov
15° 2°
0%0.0 mm
86%
Thu
12 Nov
16° 4°
0%0.0 mm
81%
Fri
13 Nov
15° 5°
20%0.0 mm
64%
Sat
14 Nov
15° 7°
25%0.0 mm
39%
Sun
15 Nov
14° 10°
67%5.0 mm
60%
Mon
16 Nov
16° 11°
67%1.6 mm
63%
Tue
17 Nov
14° 8°
0%0.0 mm
67%
Wed
18 Nov
13° 5°
33%0.0 mm
33%
Thu
19 Nov
9° 4°
0%0.0 mm
70%
Model spaghetti
Every model as a line, the bold line is the median, the shaded band the full model range. Rain shows accumulated totals from now.
Model maps around Seoul
ECMWF and GFS rain forecasts over Seoul on synced maps. Drag the divider or press play.
Loading model maps…
What each model says for Seoul
Daily high/low and rain total per model. Blue = at least 1 mm.
| Model | Today | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | 17°/7° · 0.0 mm | 16°/10° · 0.9 mm | 12°/4° · 0.0 mm | 9°/1° · 0.0 mm | 8°/1° · 0.9 mm | 10°/2° · 0.0 mm | 11°/-0° · 0.0 mm |
| ECMWF | 17°/6° · 0.0 mm | 16°/9° · 0.9 mm | 11°/3° · 0.0 mm | 7°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 6°/1° · 0.3 mm | 10°/-0° · 0.0 mm | 11°/1° · 0.0 mm |
| AIFS | 18°/7° · 0.2 mm | 17°/10° · 2.8 mm | 11°/4° · 0.0 mm | 9°/1° · 0.0 mm | 8°/1° · 1.2 mm | 11°/2° · 0.0 mm | 12°/-1° · 0.0 mm |
| GFS | 17°/11° · 0.0 mm | 17°/12° · 0.9 mm | 14°/5° · 0.0 mm | 8°/2° · 0.0 mm | 9°/5° · 0.0 mm | 8°/4° · 0.0 mm | 11°/3° · 0.0 mm |
| ICON | 17°/5° · 0.0 mm | 18°/8° · 0.1 mm | 13°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 9°/-4° · 0.0 mm | 8°/-2° · 0.6 mm | 11°/-2° · 0.9 mm | 12°/-2° · 0.0 mm |
| GEM | 17°/5° · 0.0 mm | 13°/7° · 8.9 mm | 12°/2° · 0.1 mm | 10°/-1° · 0.0 mm | 9°/-4° · 5.1 mm | 8°/4° · 49 mm | 9°/-1° · 0.1 mm |
| JMA | 17°/7° · 0.0 mm | 16°/10° · 1.9 mm | 12°/4° · 0.0 mm | 9°/4° · 0.0 mm | 11°/2° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.6 mm | 9°/-0° · 0.0 mm |
| ARPEGE | 17°/7° · 0.0 mm | 16°/9° · 2.8 mm | 12°/5° · 0.0 mm | 11°/2° · 0.0 mm | - | - | - |
| UKMO | 16°/9° · 0.0 mm | 17°/12° · 0.2 mm | 13°/4° · 0.0 mm | 9°/2° · 0.0 mm | 4°/2° · 4.2 mm | 12°/2° · 0.0 mm | 14°/5° · 0.0 mm |
| CMA | 16°/8° · 0.0 mm | 16°/10° · 0.6 mm | 9°/1° · 0.0 mm | 7°/-2° · 0.0 mm | 7°/0° · 5.7 mm | - | - |
Where the models disagree: Sunday
Confidence is only 25/100. CMA brings 5.7 mm of rain while GFS has 0.0 mm; highs range from 4° (UKMO) to 11° (JMA). Check back: the next model runs will usually narrow this down.
Seoul weather: questions
Will it rain in Seoul tomorrow?
A chance of showers: 44% of models show rain, up to 8.9 mm. Across 9 weather models the median total is 0.9 mm, ranging from 0.1 mm to 8.9 mm.
When will it rain next in Seoul?
The next day most models agree on rain is Sunday 15 November: 67% of models, about 5.0 mm.
What do ECMWF and GFS say for Seoul today?
ECMWF (the European model) forecasts a high of 17°C with 0.0 mm of rain; GFS (the American model) says 17°C with 0.0 mm. The median of all 9 models is 17°C.
Which weather model is most accurate for Seoul?
On average ECMWF scores best in global verification beyond 2–3 days, with the UK Met Office close behind. For the first 48 hours, high-resolution regional models (ICON-D2, AROME, HRRR, UKV) often win locally. The most reliable single number is usually the multi-model consensus shown on this page.
How reliable is the Seoul forecast this week?
The least certain day is Sunday (confidence 25/100): CMA forecasts 5.7 mm of rain while GFS forecasts 0.0 mm.
Nearby forecasts
Model runs fetched at 01:16 UTC. Sources: ECMWF IFS · ECMWF AIFS · NOAA GFS · DWD ICON · Canadian GEM · JMA GSM · Météo-France ARPEGE / AROME · UK Met Office · CMA GRAPES · Methodology